Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 51.3%). Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Acciari 51.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 89.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 76.2%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 52.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Rantanen
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Rantanen
Acciari
Last 10: Rantanen 3-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
3
0
Rantanen
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
8
Rantanen
Acciari
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,525)
52.8% (3,304)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.8% (486)
48.3% (87)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
47.0% (1,073)
-32.7%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Rantanen is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Rantanen shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Acciari
Home
53.0% (1,067)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
48.3% (951)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Rantanen
Acciari
P1
49.0%
52.3%
P2
51.1%
51.5%
P3
51.9%
50.2%
OT
57.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |