Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 50.0%). Rantanen wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.7% vs Lafferty 50.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 66.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 57.0%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 52.1%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Rantanen
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rantanen
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Rantanen
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (47)
50.0% (46)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Rantanen is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Rantanen shoots left. Lafferty is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Lafferty
Home
48.4% (31)
47.8% (23)
Away
50.0% (38)
52.2% (23)
By Period
Rantanen
Lafferty
P1
50.0%
53.3%
P2
30.0%
55.6%
P3
72.2%
42.9%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |