Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Lafferty 47.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Lafferty leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 80.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 83.2%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 64.0%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Rantanen
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Rantanen
Lafferty
Last 10: Rantanen 1-9 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
2
1
Rantanen
Lafferty
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
5
Rantanen
Lafferty
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
3
Rantanen
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,525)
47.9% (1,417)
+3.1%
Power Play
50.8% (486)
45.7% (46)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
43.5% (184)
-29.2%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Rantanen is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Rantanen shoots left. Lafferty is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Lafferty
Home
53.0% (1,067)
47.3% (833)
Away
48.3% (951)
47.4% (814)
By Period
Rantanen
Lafferty
P1
49.0%
49.4%
P2
51.1%
43.1%
P3
51.9%
49.6%
OT
57.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |