Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Barron wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ostlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 46.8% vs Ostlund 36.5% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostlund 82.7%
Defensive zone
Barron 86.1%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 55.4%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Barron
Ostlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barron
Ostlund
Last 5: Barron 2-3 Ostlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostlund
0
2
Barron
Ostlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
2
0
Barron
Ostlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostlund
0
1
Barron
Ostlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Ostlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (381)
32.2% (261)
+16.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
11.1% (9)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (187)
33.3% (3)
+8.4%
On power play, Barron has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostlund shoots left. Barron is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Barron shoots left. Ostlund is 28.7% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Barron
Ostlund
Home
44.4% (306)
37.3% (142)
Away
48.3% (265)
25.2% (131)
By Period
Barron
Ostlund
P1
45.5%
34.0%
P2
49.8%
32.6%
P3
43.1%
27.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
23.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Noah Ostlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Noah Ostlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Noah Ostlund |