Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 48.0% vs Ostlund 36.5% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostlund 75.5%
Defensive zone
Barron 86.5%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 51.7%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Barron
Ostlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barron
Ostlund
Last 5: Barron 2-3 Ostlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostlund
0
2
Barron
Ostlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
2
0
Barron
Ostlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostlund
0
1
Barron
Ostlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Ostlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (741)
32.5% (283)
+16.9%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
11.1% (9)
+38.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (222)
33.3% (3)
+9.0%
On power play, Barron has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostlund shoots left. Barron is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Barron shoots left. Ostlund is 30.1% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Barron
Ostlund
Home
45.2% (480)
37.0% (154)
Away
50.3% (489)
26.2% (141)
By Period
Barron
Ostlund
P1
48.0%
34.6%
P2
50.7%
32.0%
P3
44.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
23.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Noah Ostlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Noah Ostlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Noah Ostlund |