Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barron wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 46.8% vs Greene 43.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greene 54.6%
Defensive zone
Barron 74.6%
Neutral zone
Barron 51.1%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Barron
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Barron
Greene
Last 7: Barron 4-3 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barron
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
2
0
Barron
Greene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
1
2
Barron
Greene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (381)
43.6% (512)
+5.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
46.8% (62)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (187)
40.1% (167)
+1.6%
On power play, Greene has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Barron is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Barron shoots left. Greene is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Barron
Greene
Home
44.4% (306)
47.4% (382)
Away
48.3% (265)
38.4% (359)
By Period
Barron
Greene
P1
45.5%
46.8%
P2
49.8%
37.6%
P3
43.1%
45.2%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |