Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barron wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 48.0% vs Greene 43.7% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barron 56.7%
Defensive zone
Barron 73.0%
Neutral zone
Barron 55.6%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Barron
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Barron
Greene
Last 7: Barron 4-3 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barron
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
2
0
Barron
Greene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
1
2
Barron
Greene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (741)
43.2% (530)
+6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
46.8% (62)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (222)
40.1% (167)
+2.2%
On even strength, Barron has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Barron is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (317).
Barron shoots left. Greene is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
Barron
Greene
Home
45.2% (480)
47.4% (382)
Away
50.3% (489)
38.2% (377)
By Period
Barron
Greene
P1
48.0%
46.1%
P2
50.7%
37.6%
P3
44.7%
45.2%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |