Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Barron wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 46.8% vs Poehling 48.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 66.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 50.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 71.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Barron
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Barron
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
2
0
Barron
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (381)
50.4% (680)
-1.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
58.3% (12)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (187)
38.8% (219)
+2.9%
On power play, Poehling has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Barron is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Barron shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Barron
Poehling
Home
44.4% (306)
47.4% (422)
Away
48.3% (265)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Barron
Poehling
P1
45.5%
53.3%
P2
49.8%
40.3%
P3
43.1%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |