Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 48.0% vs Poehling 48.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 59.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 52.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 60.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Barron
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Barron
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
2
0
Barron
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (741)
49.6% (2,780)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
51.6% (93)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (222)
41.7% (635)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Barron is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Barron shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Home / Away
Barron
Poehling
Home
45.2% (480)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
50.3% (489)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Barron
Poehling
P1
48.0%
50.8%
P2
50.7%
47.1%
P3
44.7%
47.2%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |