Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Frost 50.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 18-6 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 58.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 76.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 64.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Schenn
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
18
(24 meetings)
6
18
Schenn
Frost
Last 10: Schenn 2-8 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
9
Schenn
Frost
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
4
Schenn
Frost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
5
Schenn
Frost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,842)
49.7% (3,652)
-1.7%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
55.4% (632)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (398)
55.0% (40)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,707).
Schenn shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Schenn
Frost
Home
49.7% (5,075)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Schenn
Frost
P1
48.8%
51.2%
P2
48.6%
51.3%
P3
48.3%
48.8%
OT
50.9%
64.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.6%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |