Elias Pettersson vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Frost 50.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 20-7 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 87.8%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 82.0%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 88.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Pettersson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
20
(27 meetings)
7
20
Pettersson
Frost
Last 10: Pettersson 1-9 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
7
Pettersson
Frost
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
7
Pettersson
Frost
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
6
Pettersson
Frost
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,613)
49.7% (3,652)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.5% (554)
55.4% (632)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (243)
55.0% (40)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,640).
Pettersson shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Frost
Home
46.8% (2,757)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
45.2% (2,653)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Pettersson
Frost
P1
44.7%
51.2%
P2
46.1%
51.3%
P3
47.4%
48.8%
OT
39.7%
64.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |