Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Frost 50.6% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Roslovic leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 66.6%
Defensive zone
Frost 69.4%
Neutral zone
Frost 76.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Roslovic
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Roslovic
Frost
Last 10: Roslovic 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Roslovic
Frost
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
5
2
Roslovic
Frost
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
2
Roslovic
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
49.7% (3,652)
-4.7%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
55.4% (632)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
55.0% (40)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Roslovic shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Frost
Home
44.0% (1,739)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Roslovic
Frost
P1
45.5%
51.2%
P2
44.9%
51.3%
P3
44.8%
48.8%
OT
31.8%
64.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |