Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.2% vs Frost 56.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 73.8%
Defensive zone
Rossi 81.9%
Neutral zone
Rossi 73.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Rossi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Rossi
Frost
Last 6: Rossi 1-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
3
Rossi
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Rossi
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (428)
55.8% (745)
-3.5%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
60.5% (172)
-25.4%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
88.9% (9)
-51.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rossi is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Rossi shoots left. Frost is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Rossi
Frost
Home
50.0% (260)
57.3% (497)
Away
50.4% (232)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Rossi
Frost
P1
55.0%
60.1%
P2
47.9%
56.0%
P3
47.7%
54.7%
OT
40.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
44.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.2%
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |