Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Frost wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.3% vs Hischier 55.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 64.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 76.8%
Neutral zone
Hischier 61.7%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Frost
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Frost
Hischier
Last 9: Frost 3-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
0
Frost
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
2
Frost
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Frost
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (745)
55.5% (1,172)
+0.3%
Power Play
60.5% (172)
64.5% (265)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
43.9% (164)
+45.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Frost is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Frost shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
Frost
Hischier
Home
57.3% (497)
56.8% (791)
Away
56.6% (429)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Frost
Hischier
P1
60.1%
56.0%
P2
56.0%
58.6%
P3
54.7%
53.5%
OT
63.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
57.0%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |