Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs Hischier 52.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 28-26 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 66.0%
Defensive zone
Hischier 59.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 56.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Frost
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
28
(54 meetings)
26
28
Frost
Hischier
Last 10: Frost 3-7 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
10
6
Frost
Hischier
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
10
14
Frost
Hischier
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
6
8
Frost
Hischier
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
51.6% (8,444)
-1.9%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
59.9% (1,749)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
49.3% (918)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Frost shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Home / Away
Frost
Hischier
Home
51.4% (2,101)
53.0% (5,477)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
52.4% (5,634)
By Period
Frost
Hischier
P1
51.2%
52.9%
P2
51.3%
52.6%
P3
48.8%
52.7%
OT
64.9%
50.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |