Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.4% vs Zacha 51.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 90.8%
Defensive zone
Frost 50.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 74.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Frost
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Frost
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (755)
53.0% (700)
+3.0%
Power Play
60.1% (173)
54.1% (109)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
39.2% (74)
+49.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +49.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Frost shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Frost
Zacha
Home
57.3% (497)
51.6% (438)
Away
56.8% (440)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Frost
Zacha
P1
60.2%
57.0%
P2
56.0%
48.9%
P3
54.8%
50.5%
OT
63.6%
42.1%
Final 5 min
52.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |