Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.4% vs Krebs 45.4% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 77.2%
Defensive zone
Krebs 71.3%
Neutral zone
Krebs 52.3%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Frost
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Frost
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (755)
44.4% (403)
+11.6%
Power Play
60.1% (173)
33.3% (6)
+26.8%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
45.0% (20)
+43.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Frost shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Frost
Krebs
Home
57.3% (497)
46.3% (205)
Away
56.8% (440)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Frost
Krebs
P1
60.2%
47.0%
P2
56.0%
45.4%
P3
54.8%
40.7%
OT
63.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |