Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs Krebs 45.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 93.7%
Defensive zone
Frost 62.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 81.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Frost
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Frost
Krebs
Last 10: Frost 4-6 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
0
Frost
Krebs
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
3
5
Frost
Krebs
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
5
1
Frost
Krebs
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
46.0% (2,174)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
52.5% (101)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
38.6% (171)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Frost shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,555).
Home / Away
Frost
Krebs
Home
51.4% (2,101)
45.6% (1,199)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Frost
Krebs
P1
51.2%
45.9%
P2
51.3%
46.5%
P3
48.8%
44.7%
OT
64.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |