Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.5% vs Thomas 51.6% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 69.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 63.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 51.0%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Frost
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
15
(29 meetings)
14
15
Frost
Thomas
Last 10: Frost 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
11
2
Frost
Thomas
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
8
Frost
Thomas
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
5
Frost
Thomas
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (3,642)
51.1% (5,370)
-1.5%
Power Play
55.5% (631)
55.7% (923)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
50.1% (695)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Frost shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,944).
Home / Away
Frost
Thomas
Home
51.4% (2,101)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Frost
Thomas
P1
51.1%
50.6%
P2
51.3%
52.9%
P3
48.7%
50.8%
OT
64.9%
59.2%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
50.5%
Thomas
48.0%▲
45.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |