Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.4% vs Strome 45.9% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 78.8%
Defensive zone
Frost 55.9%
Neutral zone
Frost 73.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Frost
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Frost
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (755)
45.4% (315)
+10.6%
Power Play
60.1% (173)
35.7% (28)
+24.4%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
50.0% (4)
+38.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Frost is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Frost shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Frost
Strome
Home
57.3% (497)
42.6% (188)
Away
56.8% (440)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Frost
Strome
P1
60.2%
38.6%
P2
56.0%
48.4%
P3
54.8%
46.2%
OT
63.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |