Morgan Frost vs Steven Stamkos

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.1%). Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Frost 50.5% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor Frost leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone Frost 55.6%
Defensive zone Stamkos 65.1%
Neutral zone Stamkos 53.7%
Result Steven Stamkos favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Frost Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 6 (13 meetings)
7
6
Frost Stamkos
Last 10: Frost 6-4 Stamkos

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
0
Frost Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
Frost Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
4
2
Frost Stamkos
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Frost
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (3,642)
50.5% (9,825)
-0.9%
Power Play
55.5% (631)
55.2% (1,729)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
49.6% (827)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +5.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Frost shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Frost
Stamkos
Home
51.4% (2,101)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Frost
Stamkos
P1
51.1%
49.2%
P2
51.3%
52.7%
P3
48.7%
50.9%
OT
64.9%
54.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
52.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%
62.0%
50.5%
Stamkos
66.0%
56.5%
51.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 3, 2026 3 01:26 Offensive Morgan Frost
Jan 3, 2026 1 10:46 Defensive Morgan Frost
Dec 2, 2025 3 11:16 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Dec 2, 2025 2 14:25 Neutral Morgan Frost
Nov 27, 2024 1 16:18 Neutral Steven Stamkos
Nov 27, 2024 1 13:20 Offensive Morgan Frost
Nov 27, 2024 1 06:17 Neutral Morgan Frost
Feb 27, 2024 2 14:16 Neutral Steven Stamkos
Jan 23, 2024 3 01:21 Neutral Morgan Frost
Jan 23, 2024 1 12:36 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Mar 7, 2023 2 13:17 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Mar 7, 2023 2 09:00 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Mar 7, 2023 2 08:46 Neutral Morgan Frost