Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 56.5%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Frost wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.3% vs Washe 54.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 95.5%
Defensive zone
Washe 60.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 67.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Frost
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Frost
Washe
Last 8: Frost 7-1 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
7
0
Frost
Washe
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
0
1
Frost
Washe
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (745)
59.2% (250)
-3.4%
Power Play
60.5% (172)
100.0% (3)
-39.5%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
41.8% (55)
+47.1%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Frost is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Frost shoots left. Washe is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Frost
Washe
Home
57.3% (497)
62.0% (129)
Away
56.6% (429)
52.5% (179)
By Period
Frost
Washe
P1
60.1%
57.7%
P2
56.0%
60.4%
P3
54.7%
53.4%
OT
63.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
57.0%
Washe
50.0%▼
57.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |