Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.1% vs 56.5%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Frost wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.4% vs Washe 55.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 94.6%
Defensive zone
Washe 66.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 59.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Frost
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Frost
Washe
Last 8: Frost 7-1 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
7
0
Frost
Washe
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
0
1
Frost
Washe
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (755)
59.5% (264)
-3.5%
Power Play
60.1% (173)
100.0% (3)
-39.9%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
40.4% (57)
+48.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Frost shoots left. Washe is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Frost
Washe
Home
57.3% (497)
61.4% (145)
Away
56.8% (440)
52.5% (179)
By Period
Frost
Washe
P1
60.2%
57.4%
P2
56.0%
59.6%
P3
54.8%
54.0%
OT
63.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Washe
56.0%▬
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |