Scouting Report
Tim Washe holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs Washe 54.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 70.1%
Defensive zone
Washe 86.9%
Neutral zone
Washe 61.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Frost
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Frost
Washe
Last 8: Frost 7-1 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
7
0
Frost
Washe
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
0
1
Frost
Washe
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
59.2% (272)
-9.5%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
100.0% (3)
-44.6%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
40.4% (57)
+14.6%
On power play, Washe has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Frost shoots left. Washe is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Frost
Washe
Home
51.4% (2,101)
61.4% (145)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
52.4% (187)
By Period
Frost
Washe
P1
51.2%
57.7%
P2
51.3%
58.3%
P3
48.8%
54.3%
OT
64.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Washe
56.0%▬
55.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |