Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Frost wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.4% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 91.2%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 76.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 68.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Frost
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Frost
Dellandrea
Last 8: Frost 5-3 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
5
0
Frost
Dellandrea
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
3
Frost
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (755)
54.1% (355)
+1.9%
Power Play
60.1% (173)
53.8% (13)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
47.6% (143)
+41.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Frost is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Frost shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Frost
Dellandrea
Home
57.3% (497)
54.3% (278)
Away
56.8% (440)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Frost
Dellandrea
P1
60.2%
54.2%
P2
56.0%
50.6%
P3
54.8%
51.8%
OT
63.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |