Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs Dellandrea 49.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 94.8%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 73.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 60.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Frost
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Frost
Dellandrea
Last 10: Frost 5-5 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
9
1
Frost
Dellandrea
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
2
5
Frost
Dellandrea
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
4
1
Frost
Dellandrea
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
50.5% (1,108)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
59.4% (32)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
43.4% (318)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Frost shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Frost
Dellandrea
Home
51.4% (2,101)
49.4% (741)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
49.0% (717)
By Period
Frost
Dellandrea
P1
51.2%
49.7%
P2
51.3%
48.6%
P3
48.8%
49.4%
OT
64.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |