Morgan Frost vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.4% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 81.5%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 84.2%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 58.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Frost
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Frost
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Frost
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (755)
45.1% (164)
+10.9%
Power Play
60.1% (173)
50.0% (2)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
45.2% (31)
+43.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Frost shoots left. Girgensons is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Frost
Girgensons
Home
57.3% (497)
44.6% (92)
Away
56.8% (440)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Frost
Girgensons
P1
60.2%
44.2%
P2
56.0%
46.0%
P3
54.8%
45.1%
Final 5 min
52.6%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |