Morgan Frost vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs Girgensons 45.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 90.8%
Defensive zone
Frost 54.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 73.7%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Frost
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Frost
Girgensons
Last 10: Frost 6-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
5
2
Frost
Girgensons
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
2
Frost
Girgensons
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
45.5% (2,718)
+4.2%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
49.1% (175)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
42.2% (483)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Frost shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,078).
Home / Away
Frost
Girgensons
Home
51.4% (2,101)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Frost
Girgensons
P1
51.2%
45.8%
P2
51.3%
44.1%
P3
48.8%
45.7%
OT
64.9%
52.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:43 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |