Nathan MacKinnon vs Nick Schmaltz
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 42.6% vs Schmaltz 41.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 64.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 59.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
3
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (953)
39.5% (658)
+1.2%
Power Play
51.4% (148)
41.3% (92)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (55)
45.1% (51)
-8.7%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. MacKinnon is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (349).
MacKinnon shoots right. Schmaltz is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Home
42.1% (617)
40.8% (424)
Away
41.7% (540)
39.3% (377)
By Period
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
P1
43.4%
38.4%
P2
40.9%
40.7%
P3
40.8%
41.0%
OT
55.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
41.9%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2018 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |