Nathan MacKinnon vs Phillip Danault
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Danault 52.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 69.0%
Neutral zone
Danault 53.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
MacKinnon
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
MacKinnon
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
MacKinnon
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
52.4% (958)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
62.0% (71)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
47.6% (187)
+1.5%
On power play, Danault has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Danault is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Danault
Home
50.9% (740)
51.2% (605)
Away
49.0% (774)
53.2% (611)
By Period
MacKinnon
Danault
P1
50.9%
53.1%
P2
51.8%
49.8%
P3
47.1%
54.3%
OT
58.8%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.9%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |