Who wins more faceoffs, Nathan MacKinnon or Sebastian Aho?

Sebastian Aho leads the head-to-head 6-4 across 10 faceoffs.

What is Nathan MacKinnon's faceoff record against Sebastian Aho?

Nathan MacKinnon is 4-6 against Sebastian Aho in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-1, Defensive 0-1, Neutral 3-4.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Nathan MacKinnon or Sebastian Aho?

Nathan MacKinnon is the predicted winner with a 60.3% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Nathan MacKinnon vs Sebastian Aho

Nathan MacKinnonR vs Sebastian AhoL

2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Sebastian Aho holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 45.9% vs Aho 52.2% (-7.0%)

H2H factor Aho leads 6-4 in 10 meetings

Offensive zone MacKinnon 51.5%

Defensive zone MacKinnon 74.2%

Neutral zone MacKinnon 60.8%

Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.3%

60.3%

39.7%

MacKinnon Aho

Head-to-Head Record

4 - 6 (10 meetings)

MacKinnon Aho

Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Aho

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Even

MacKinnon Aho

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Aho

MacKinnon Aho

1 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Aho

MacKinnon Aho

7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

MacKinnon

Aho

Edge

Even Strength

45.8% (755)

51.6% (819)

-5.8%

Power Play

48.3% (60)

58.4% (173)

-10.1%

Penalty Kill

27.6% (29)

46.3% (67)

-18.7%

On penalty kill, Aho has a +18.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Aho shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).

MacKinnon shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).

Home / Away

MacKinnon

Aho

Home

49.5% (396)

53.9% (568)

Away

41.7% (448)

50.7% (491)

By Period

MacKinnon

Aho

50.2%

55.4%

43.8%

51.2%

41.4%

50.9%

66.7%

28.6%

Final 5 min

41.0%

45.2%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

MacKinnon

54.0%▬

54.5%

45.4%

Aho

54.0%▼

56.5%

52.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Apr 16, 2022	3	06:48	Neutral	Sebastian Aho
Apr 16, 2022	3	04:08	Neutral	Sebastian Aho
Apr 16, 2022	1	10:04	Neutral	Sebastian Aho
Mar 10, 2022	3	06:05	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 10, 2022	3	00:00	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 10, 2022	2	06:17	Defensive	Sebastian Aho
Mar 10, 2022	2	00:00	Neutral	Sebastian Aho
Mar 10, 2022	1	04:46	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 10, 2022	1	01:45	Offensive	Sebastian Aho
Mar 10, 2022	1	00:00	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon

MacKinnon's Profile | Aho's Profile