Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Pinto 44.1% (+12.7%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 59.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
MacKinnon
Pinto
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
34.1% (41)
+11.7%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
28.6% (7)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
25.0% (4)
+2.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
MacKinnon shoots right. Pinto is 18.2% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Pinto
Home
49.5% (396)
35.0% (40)
Away
41.7% (448)
25.0% (12)
By Period
MacKinnon
Pinto
P1
50.2%
29.4%
P2
43.8%
44.4%
P3
41.4%
23.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
45.4%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
32.7%