Nathan MacKinnon vs Sidney Crosby
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 44 meetings). MacKinnon wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Crosby 53.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 115-63 in 178 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 93.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 88.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 92.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
MacKinnon
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
63
-
115
(178 meetings)
63
115
MacKinnon
Crosby
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
8
36
MacKinnon
Crosby
44 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
18
24
MacKinnon
Crosby
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
37
55
MacKinnon
Crosby
92 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,264)
52.8% (18,031)
-6.7%
Power Play
53.2% (1,421)
57.4% (4,741)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
47.0% (766)
-4.2%
On even strength, Crosby has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
MacKinnon shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,671).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Crosby
Home
49.7% (6,471)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
43.9% (6,717)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
MacKinnon
Crosby
P1
47.4%
53.6%
P2
46.6%
53.8%
P3
46.1%
53.3%
OT
48.4%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |