Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.0% vs Nosek 48.5% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 71.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 68.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 53.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
MacKinnon
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,038)
52.0% (102)
-2.3%
Power Play
63.7% (157)
100.0% (2)
-36.3%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
29.0% (31)
+5.4%
On power play, Nosek has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
MacKinnon shoots right. Nosek is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Nosek
Home
53.1% (618)
52.0% (50)
Away
49.1% (609)
44.7% (85)
By Period
MacKinnon
Nosek
P1
49.3%
45.0%
P2
53.0%
42.0%
P3
50.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%