Nathan MacKinnon vs Ty Dellandrea
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ty Dellandrea holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.0% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 87.7%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 74.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 57.5%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
2
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,038)
54.1% (355)
-4.4%
Power Play
63.7% (157)
53.8% (13)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
47.6% (143)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Dellandrea has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
MacKinnon shoots right. Dellandrea is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Home
53.1% (618)
54.3% (278)
Away
49.1% (609)
49.8% (233)
By Period
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
P1
49.3%
54.2%
P2
53.0%
50.6%
P3
50.7%
51.8%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |