Nathan MacKinnon vs Ty Dellandrea
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ty Dellandrea holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Dellandrea 49.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Dellandrea leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 79.5%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 70.3%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 50.6%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
2
3
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
1
2
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,264)
50.5% (1,108)
-4.4%
Power Play
53.2% (1,421)
59.4% (32)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
43.4% (318)
-0.6%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,651).
MacKinnon shoots right. Dellandrea is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Home
49.7% (6,471)
49.4% (741)
Away
43.9% (6,717)
49.0% (717)
By Period
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
P1
47.4%
49.7%
P2
46.6%
48.6%
P3
46.1%
49.4%
OT
48.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |