Nathan MacKinnon vs Vincent Trocheck
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 76.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 75.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 77.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Last 7: MacKinnon 2-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
MacKinnon
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
MacKinnon
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
55.0% (956)
-10.3%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
59.8% (266)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
56.3% (64)
+8.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
MacKinnon shoots right. Trocheck is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Home
49.4% (553)
57.7% (673)
Away
40.0% (615)
54.3% (613)
By Period
MacKinnon
Trocheck
P1
45.3%
55.4%
P2
42.7%
55.6%
P3
45.1%
56.4%
OT
46.2%
83.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
44.4%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |