Nathan MacKinnon vs Vincent Trocheck
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 30 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Trocheck 54.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 54-39 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 75.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 90.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 85.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
54
(93 meetings)
39
54
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Last 10: MacKinnon 1-9 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
16
15
MacKinnon
Trocheck
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
10
20
MacKinnon
Trocheck
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
13
19
MacKinnon
Trocheck
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,264)
53.7% (10,944)
-7.6%
Power Play
53.2% (1,421)
60.9% (1,870)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
49.5% (1,472)
-6.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,651).
MacKinnon shoots right. Trocheck is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,361).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Home
49.7% (6,471)
56.3% (7,160)
Away
43.9% (6,717)
52.2% (7,126)
By Period
MacKinnon
Trocheck
P1
47.4%
54.1%
P2
46.6%
54.7%
P3
46.1%
54.0%
OT
48.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |