Nathan MacKinnon vs Vinnie Hinostroza
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vinnie Hinostroza holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hinostroza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 50.7% vs Hinostroza 50.7% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 62.8%
Defensive zone
Hinostroza 58.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (825)
52.8% (36)
-3.7%
On even strength, Hinostroza has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hinostroza shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (268).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hinostroza is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
Home
52.6% (489)
45.8% (24)
Away
49.1% (495)
66.7% (12)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
P1
50.3%
36.8%
P2
52.6%
63.6%
P3
49.2%
83.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
87.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.8%
Hinostroza
50.0%▲
42.0%
52.8%