Nathan MacKinnon vs Vinnie Hinostroza
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hinostroza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.0% vs Hinostroza 49.3% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 57.7%
Defensive zone
Hinostroza 62.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.5%
Result
Vinnie Hinostroza favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,038)
47.8% (46)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hinostroza shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hinostroza is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
Home
53.1% (618)
41.9% (31)
Away
49.1% (609)
60.0% (15)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
P1
49.3%
36.4%
P2
53.0%
61.5%
P3
50.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
56.7%
72.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Hinostroza
46.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%