Nathan MacKinnon vs Vinnie Hinostroza
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hinostroza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Hinostroza 41.7% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 83.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 72.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
Last 6: MacKinnon 4-2 Hinostroza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hinostroza
0
2
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
0
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,264)
39.3% (544)
+6.8%
Power Play
53.2% (1,421)
62.5% (32)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
0.0% (5)
+42.8%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +42.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hinostroza shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,651).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hinostroza is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
Home
49.7% (6,471)
43.3% (351)
Away
43.9% (6,717)
35.7% (230)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
P1
47.4%
41.3%
P2
46.6%
40.5%
P3
46.1%
39.0%
OT
48.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Hinostroza
46.0%▲
41.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Vinnie Hinostroza |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Vinnie Hinostroza |