Scouting Report
Nathan Walker holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Walker wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Walker 52.3% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 56.0%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 55.4%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 51.5%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Walker
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Walker
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (165)
48.3% (497)
+6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
63.6% (11)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (10)
38.5% (39)
+1.5%
On power play, Lorentz has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Walker is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Walker shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Walker
Lorentz
Home
57.7% (111)
50.4% (238)
Away
47.0% (66)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Walker
Lorentz
P1
61.2%
49.1%
P2
45.2%
48.0%
P3
56.1%
47.2%
Final 5 min
66.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Walker
54.0%▼
56.0%
53.7%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
47.9%