Scouting Report
Nathan Walker holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Walker wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Walker 51.6% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+16.2%)
Offensive zone
Walker 53.2%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 56.0%
Neutral zone
Walker 53.0%
Result
Nathan Walker favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Walker
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Walker
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (138)
30.8% (26)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (14)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
On even strength, Walker has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Walker is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Walker shoots left. Lorentz is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Walker
Lorentz
Home
48.8% (84)
35.0% (20)
Away
56.9% (72)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Walker
Lorentz
P1
54.3%
38.5%
P2
51.7%
37.5%
P3
52.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Walker
54.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
36.4%