Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Kadri 49.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 79.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 85.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 73.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
McDavid
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
McDavid
Kadri
Last 7: McDavid 6-1 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
0
McDavid
Kadri
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
McDavid
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
50.2% (849)
+4.1%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
50.6% (235)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
43.0% (93)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kadri
Home
53.6% (507)
48.5% (557)
Away
53.8% (539)
50.8% (620)
By Period
McDavid
Kadri
P1
52.6%
49.5%
P2
54.1%
51.3%
P3
54.9%
47.8%
OT
44.4%
63.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
53.7%
Kadri
34.0%▼
38.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 21, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |