Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Kadri 50.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 60.1%
Defensive zone
Kadri 67.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 61.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Duchene
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Duchene
Kadri
Last 10: Duchene 3-7 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
3
Duchene
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
3
Duchene
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,112)
50.3% (1,002)
+2.3%
Power Play
56.0% (193)
51.4% (72)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
26.3% (19)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Duchene shoots left. Kadri is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Duchene
Kadri
Home
55.7% (652)
52.3% (568)
Away
50.4% (702)
47.4% (525)
By Period
Duchene
Kadri
P1
51.4%
51.5%
P2
53.9%
49.4%
P3
53.3%
49.2%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
53.0%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |