Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.9% vs Monahan 52.5% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 65.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 54.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 53.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Kadri
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kadri
Monahan
Last 5: Kadri 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Kadri
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (866)
53.0% (874)
-6.5%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
54.7% (161)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
47.5% (101)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Kadri shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Kadri
Monahan
Home
45.8% (513)
53.8% (558)
Away
47.6% (452)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Kadri
Monahan
P1
52.4%
49.5%
P2
48.5%
54.8%
P3
39.7%
52.8%
OT
44.4%
61.9%
Final 5 min
46.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |