Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 36 meetings). Kadri wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.6% vs Monahan 51.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 60-44 in 104 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 58.6%
Defensive zone
Kadri 59.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 59.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Kadri
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
60
(104 meetings)
44
60
Kadri
Monahan
Last 10: Kadri 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
13
23
Kadri
Monahan
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
14
15
Kadri
Monahan
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
17
22
Kadri
Monahan
39 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (12,555)
51.1% (11,407)
-3.0%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
53.6% (2,582)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
45.9% (772)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kadri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,402).
Kadri shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Kadri
Monahan
Home
49.1% (7,493)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
48.1% (7,250)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Kadri
Monahan
P1
49.1%
51.0%
P2
48.7%
51.7%
P3
47.9%
51.0%
OT
49.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |