Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Novak 45.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 60.3%
Defensive zone
Novak 55.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.4%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Kadri
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kadri
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
43.8% (384)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
58.8% (17)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
100.0% (1)
-73.3%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +73.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Kadri shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Kadri
Novak
Home
47.4% (641)
46.5% (202)
Away
47.6% (593)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Kadri
Novak
P1
46.9%
49.2%
P2
49.5%
44.2%
P3
46.2%
40.0%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.5%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |