Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.6% vs Novak 43.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 60.5%
Defensive zone
Kadri 83.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 79.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Kadri
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Kadri
Novak
Last 10: Kadri 5-5 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Novak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
3
Kadri
Novak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
3
Kadri
Novak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (12,555)
41.8% (1,568)
+6.3%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
51.5% (134)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
50.0% (2)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kadri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,402).
Kadri shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,093).
Home / Away
Kadri
Novak
Home
49.1% (7,493)
45.1% (831)
Away
48.1% (7,250)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Kadri
Novak
P1
49.1%
43.7%
P2
48.7%
42.8%
P3
47.9%
41.1%
OT
49.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.2%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |