Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.9% vs Johnston 48.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 70.2%
Defensive zone
Johnston 53.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 56.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Kadri
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kadri
Johnston
Last 7: Kadri 2-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kadri
Johnston
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
3
Kadri
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (866)
47.3% (666)
-0.8%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
50.7% (69)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
51.4% (35)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kadri is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Kadri shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Kadri
Johnston
Home
45.8% (513)
47.5% (364)
Away
47.6% (452)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Kadri
Johnston
P1
52.4%
49.4%
P2
48.5%
46.9%
P3
39.7%
47.1%
OT
44.4%
47.1%
Final 5 min
46.6%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |