Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.9% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 83.7%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 58.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 61.6%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Last 8: Kadri 3-5 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
2
Kadri
Ostapchuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Kadri
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Ostapchuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (866)
52.5% (320)
-6.0%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
33.3% (3)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
42.4% (59)
-3.9%
On power play, Kadri has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Kadri shoots left. Ostapchuk is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Home
45.8% (513)
49.1% (171)
Away
47.6% (452)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Kadri
Ostapchuk
P1
52.4%
50.4%
P2
48.5%
46.8%
P3
39.7%
55.1%
Final 5 min
46.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |